Methods:
I will collect data from a long-term demographic plot (20- 10 m x 10 m plots) to update our 21-year dataset. Cirsium pitcheri plants will be categorized into four different stages: seedling, juvenile, vegetative, reproductive (Jolls et al. 2015). I will take measures of tap root diameter, leaf number, longest leaf length, plant height, and floral head number (>12 mm diameter) depending on the plant stage. These data will help us to construct stage-based matrix and integral projection models and to predict population viability.
Individuals within the plant-insect visitor network of C. pitcheri will be evaluated for shifts in distribution using Maxent software. I will use climate and abundance data in the native range of the pollinators in order to construct a template of suitable habitat for C. pitcheri pollinators. I will then evaluate if there is a shift in suitable habitat under the forecasted climatic changes.
Funding agency:
US Fish & Wildlife Service, Department of Natural Resources, Great Lakes Restoration Fund