Methods:
A 2x2 factorial design will be used with flow magnitude (high, low) and nymph body shape (streamlined, stout) as factors. Mature A. lycorias nymphs representative of each morphotype will be collected from the Brule River, Silver River, and allowed to emerge in artificial stream channels at the UMBS stream research facility. Males will be introduced to females in 2x2ft fabric baskets and routinely checked for copulation and oviposition. A dish of Maple River water and cobble will be provided for oviposition. Oviposited eggs from three females of each native stream will be kept separate and equally divided amongst three-replicates of two magnitude (TBD) treatment in artificial stream channels. This study will run from late May-August 2017 as Perlidae egg development and hatching time has been reported as 28.95 ± 1.35 days, allowing for seven weeks of growth and development. Individuals will be stored in 70% ethanol for a geometric morphometric shape analysis. As development is monitored, the general utility for inferring hydrologic conditions from observed body shape variation will be assessed.
Geospatial data (land cover, soil, elevation etc.) will be aggregated in AquaVeo’s Watershed Modeling Software (WMS 10.1, AquaVeo). Within WMS, the United States Army Corps of Engineers has developed a Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC – HMS) with the ability to model daily discharge in ungauged streams. Daily discharge data from a known watershed are used to calibrate HEC – HMS for use in nearby watersheds. The calibrated HEC – HMS system will be used to model a six-year daily discharge flow record (2010-2016) in five ungauged streams. A. lycorias will be collected from each stream site and body shape variation will be quantified through a geometric morphometric analysis. The utility of using body shape measurements relative to modeling software for describing simple discharge magnitude and frequency conditions will be evaluated through multivariate regressions.