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Forest Resilience Threshold Experiment (FoRTE)

Project Abstract: 
Forests of the United States are primary sources of food, fiber and energy. They play a fundamental role in the earth's climate system by sequestering in plant biomass carbon that might otherwise form the molecular backbone of atmospheric greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide. Forests' capacity to capture atmospheric carbon dioxide and build biomass may change substantially with age and disturbance. Scientists have long theorized a decline in growth and carbon uptake as forests age. New observations, however, suggest that low levels of disturbance, such as those originating from insect pests, fungal pathogens, and extreme weather, in aging forests may, counter-intuitively, sustain or even increase forest carbon sequestration and growth. The mechanisms underlying these higher-than-expected rates of forest carbon sequestration are unknown. This study seeks to identify the mechanisms underpinning forest growth resilience to disturbance, and their thresholds. The researchers will also evaluate if, how, and why different computer simulations, critical to predicting future forest carbon storage and growth and yield, fail to replicate this resilience. Furthermore, they will determine whether evergreen forests in the western United States and deciduous forests in the East, with different prevailing disturbance regimes and climates, follow unique age-forest growth trajectories. The benefits of this project to society, forest and land managers, grade school educators, university students, and forest scientists are far-reaching. By combining biologically-informed field and simulation experiments with a synthesis of North American forests, this study will significantly advance our ecological thinking about forest disturbance, while producing results immediately relevant and accessible to ecosystem and earth system simulations, and to forest managers working to maximize carbon storage, growth, and timber production in increasingly disturbed forest landscapes. The project will produce openly available instructional materials for grade school teachers, train several graduate and undergraduate students, provide open and transparent sources of data and computer code to scientists and land managers, and form a student training partnership between a United States Department of Energy laboratory and an academic institution.
Investigator(s): 
Investigators: 
Status of Research Project: 
Years Active: 
2019 to 2023
Research sites: 
Methods: 
The field component uses a fully replicated gradient of disturbance severity, from 0 to 85 % defoliation, to systematically determine how and why the C cycle shifts in response to rising disturbance levels. This experiment builds on, and significantly extends, the Forest Accelerated Succession Experiment at the U of MI Biological Station, in which thousands of early successional trees were stem girdled to examine the landscape response of the C cycle to a single level of moderate disturbance. We will employ a suite of C and nitrogen (N) cycling measurements, focusing on canopy structure, leaf physiology, and canopy N reallocation, to identify the mechanisms that cause rapid NPP resilience or decline following disturbance. The modeling component of the project will use data assimilation experiments, running two very different ecophysiological models within an open source, NSF-supported ecoinformatics toolbox, to identify the processes most responsible for the models' hypothesized failure to simulate NPP resilience to disturbance, and iteratively inform the next field season's sampling priorities. Finally, a data synthesis component will use newly available observations to characterize age-NPP and net ecosystem production (NEP) trajectories for North American's temperate deciduous and coniferous forests, integrating these data into an open-data repository to lay the foundation for future modeling and empirical analyses.
Funding agency: 
National Science Foundation